Friday, February 26, 2016

Bullish or Bearish?

Many Traders/Investors struggle in the volatility of this type of market, that we are currently experiencing. Up 250 points, down the next day 100 points. Where's the Trend? What's going on? Am I going to blow my account out? etc. etc.

Knowing the Trend is key. But, knowing if the market you are trading is truly technically Bullish or Bearish is very useful.

There is a simple, FREE, way to check thanks to StockCharts.com.

It's simply the PnF (Point and Figure), BP's or Bullish Percent Indices. Located at StockCharts.com. But, it's a bit tricky to locate.

See Charting Tools in right margin. Click on "More Tools...". Click on "Market Summary". Careful here. You want to click on "End of Day", upper left. Almost there. Scroll all the way down to the bottom, until you find "Bullish Percent Indices". Eureka!

I use the BPSPX very often to confirm if the market is Bullish or Bearish.  A column of X's crossing above the 30% level  (Green Line) is confirming to Bullish. 

Crossing above the 70% level (Red Line) is a caution zone for me, as the market is now "over baked" & may be set for a reversal.

In the Chart Header, it even indicates the Status of the market and when it began the indicated level. 

Note on 2/18/2016, "Bull Confirmed" , when many are running around screaming "the sky is falling".  NO Guessing here.

This is a great tool for beginning your analysis for the over all markets. Then to break down the "Hot" and "Cold" Sectors for you individual stock analysis.

"Bottom Fishing"? Look for Sectors ready to cross the 30% level in a column of X's. Keep it simple.








Sunday, February 14, 2016

Flight to Safety - Utilities

Happy Valentine's Day to all. Enjoy the long weekend!

I will keep this short and to the point. Utilities remains an Indicator of "Flight to Safety". I believe  recent moves in GOLD will confirm this.

Last 21 Days of Sectors vs. SPX:








Note how Utilities are UP almost 7% and demonstrating strong Relative Strength vs. the SPX. Even more important notice the weakness in Financials. A Bull market requires strong Financials.

$XLU looks poised for a pullback here & that offers opportunity. Worth tracking price action here.










Want some exposure to Utilities?

RYU
FXU
XLU
VPU
UPW
IDU
JXI
PUI
IPU
FUTY

Cheers.